Category Archives: Analysis

Juan Soto Contract Options

There is no doubt that Juan Soto will test the waters of free agency — even if he eventually signs back with the New York Yankees. The Yankees and Mets are listed as the top two favorites to land him. … Continue reading

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Assembling a 2025 roster for the Nats

Assembling a roster starts with a reality check and that is called the budget. The Washington Nationals have many needs for the offseason, and they have to maximize their opportunities in Dollar/WAR acquisitions. Obviously, Juan Soto‘s +8.1 WAR would be a … Continue reading

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The Nats’ Starting Pitcher Conundrum

The Washington Nationals finished 2024 with some surprise reinforcements at Starting Pitcher. Going into 2024, the Nats were reasonably sure MacKenzie Gore, Jake Irvin and Josiah Gray were going to be a part of the rotation going forward. They had … Continue reading

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2025 Draft Lottery Odds

Another year; another MLB Draft Lottery. Just as we did for the 2023 and 2024 lotteries, a million simulations were run to see the probabilities for all the picks and not just the first pick.

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The free agents who can move the WAR up!

Obviously, Juan Soto‘s +8.1 WAR would be a big plus if the Washington Nationals acquired him. He would almost transform the team from 71-wins to 80-wins by himself. The Nationals purged a lot of “addition by subtraction” off of the … Continue reading

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The balance of defense and offense on the Nats’ roster

As we discussed a few days ago, if the Washington Nationals pitched to their Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP) as their ERA, they would be in the postseason. That did not happen, so let’s talk reality. What we know is that WAR and … Continue reading

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Offseason payroll is set with new Arb estimates

The Washington Nationals knew they were getting some much-needed payroll relief with Patrick Corbin‘s contract coming off of the books as of this offseason. The team has $70 million remaining on Stephen Strasburg‘s retirement deal that is a hit of $35 … Continue reading

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Defense Matters and you see it in the ERA/FIP comparison

If the Washington Nationals pitched to their FIP as their ERA, they would be in the postseason. The Nats finished the season with the 9th best FIP in baseball at 3.94 while turning in an horrific season as a defensive team. FIP … Continue reading

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My Nats offseason rant……….

MY RANT: Yesterday, after seeing a few posts on social media of players disbursing to their offseason homes, you look at the calendar — and it was only September 30th. These 130+ day offseasons stink. We all hate it, and … Continue reading

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The top priorities for the 2025 season

The offseason has started for the Washington Nationals. At the end of tomorrow’s doubleheader between the Mets and Braves, there will be 18-teams that are setting tee times for golf. The front offices of those 18-teams are getting to work, … Continue reading

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